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State Attorney General Tom Corbett holds a comfortable lead over his Democratic challengers for Pennsylvania Governor. Meanwhile fellow Republican Pat Toomey retains a solid advantage in the race for a Senate seat over Arlen Specter and Congressman Joe Sestak.
The latest polling conducted by Rasmussen shows Corbett holding a 49-28% lead over State Auditor Jack Wagner, leading Congressman Joe Hoeffel by 22-points and outdistancing Allegheny Country Chief Executive Dan Onorato by 26%.
Corbett held two-to-one leads over four Democratic hopefuls in January polling. His current success is bolstered by a significantly higher percentage of Pennsylvania voters who have a very favorable opinion of him (17%) over those who view him very unfavorably (5%). The Attorney General does well in virtually all sub-groupings including women and unaffiliated voters. While 18% of the state does not know enough about Corbett to form an opinion as of yet that figure jumps to around one-third of the Pennsylvania electorate when talking about the Democratic challengers.
In the race for Arlen Specter’s Senate seat Republican Pat Toomey continues to lead the veteran politician by nine-points, 47-38%. One in ten Pennsylvanias prefer another candidate in the event of that match up or remain uncertain of their support. Joe Sestak actually does slightly better against Toomey than Specter. He trails 43-35% but a considerable number of voters (15%) still are unsure about either candidate meaning the Delaware County Congressman has the potential to pick up more ground. The problem for Sestak is that he continues to run well behind Senator Specter in their primary contest. Although Rasmussen shows an improvement for him from last month Sestak still trails 51-36%.
Toomey is viewed very favorably by fourteen-percent of Pennsylvanians and very unfavorably by ten-percent. Arlen Specter has the highest level of strong support (18%) and opposition (38%) of any of the three candidates. Joe Sestak meanwhile is very favorable with just seven-percent of voters, very unfavorable with thirteen-percent and relatively unknown to most. Those numbers have changed little in recent months pointing toward a race that could be stabilizing some. Pennsylvania Democrats, who outnumber registered Republicans, will choose their party’s nominee in the May 18th primary. The general election that follows in November will decide whether the Keystone State has two Senate Democrats or one heading into 2011.
Governor Ed Rendell (43%) and President Barack Obama (44%) similarly struggle with low approval ratings in Pennsylvania although Rasmussen has consistently tracked both lower than in other polls. Seven in ten (71%) claim anger over the current policies of the federal government and similar to national polling a significant majority (58%) in Pennsylvania also believe neither Democratic nor Republican leaders in Congress know what the country needs to do in order to get back on the right track. The anti-incumbent sentiment for 2010 is reflected by the nearly two-thirds (66%) of Keystone State voters who believe the country would be better off if the current status quo was defeated. By a margin of 44-34% more voters also believe their own local representative should be defeated for reelection.
One more interesting tidbit from Rasmussen polling concerns the world of sports. With constant discussing over the future of the Eagles and their starting quarterback Donovan McNabb the question of whether the eleven-year veteran should stay or go was also asked. The survey found nearly identical percentages of those who believe the Eagles should to trade McNabb (28%) as those who say he should remain the team’s quarterback next season (27%). A plurality (45%) however is undecided on what to do with “Number Five” in 2010.
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